Dallas Fed Economics
Payment system design can encourage intraday liquidity efficiency
Efficient allocation of bank reserves improves central bank balance sheet efficiency. Frictions in such redistribution can affect monetary policy implementation.
October 02, 2025
Speeches and essays
Why I’ll be cautious about further rate cuts
While the labor market has undeniably slowed, not all of the slowing represents economic slack, and inflation remains persistently above target.
September 30, 2025
Dallas Fed Economics
Central bank swaps offer dollar crisis lifeline to non-U.S. banks
Starting in late 2007, the Federal Reserve, in partnership with a few major foreign central banks, began offering central bank dollar liquidity swap lines as an important liquidity backstop.
September 30, 2025
Speeches and essays
The case for modernizing the FOMC’s operating target rate
The time has come for the FOMC to prepare to target a different short-term interest rate. A repo rate would provide a more robust target than the current fed funds target.
September 25, 2025
Dallas Fed Economics
Options for modernizing the FOMC’s operating target interest rate
The Federal Open Market Committee primarily adjusts the stance of monetary policy through its target range for the federal funds rate. We discuss whether the fed funds rate remains the right operating target for short-term interest rates.
September 25, 2025
Dallas Fed Economics
What is keeping core inflation above 2 percent?
How much is current "excess" inflation? We take a new approach to this question, focusing on movements in relative prices.
September 23, 2025
Working Paper
Pandemic and War Inflation: Lessons from the International Experience
This paper examines the drivers of the 2020–23 inflation surge, with an emphasis on the similarities and differences across countries, as well as the role that monetary policy frameworks might have played in shaping central banks’ responses.
September 19, 2025
Dallas Fed Economics
Bubble thought: What beliefs can reveal about housing market risks
Survey-based forecast data on home price growth are a surer indicator of housing market exuberance than traditional valuation ratios, such as price-to-income or price-to-rent.
September 02, 2025
Speeches and essays
Opening remarks for panel titled ‘Post-Pandemic Challenges for Monetary Policy Implementation’
At the Banco de México’s conference on the future of central banking, President Lorie Logan discussed how central banks can return their assets and liabilities to normal after expanding their balance sheets in response to the pandemic.
August 25, 2025
Dallas Fed Economics
Falling rates no assurance of homeowner refinancing binge
When the Fed lowers its benchmark policy rate, the reduction is usually reflected in a variety of consumer finance rates, notably mortgages. However, there are reasons to believe that such a reduction might not prompt an increase in the volume of mortgage refinances and prepayment activity as has historically occurred.
August 14, 2025