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Texas Economy
Texas Employment Forecast
The Texas Employment Forecast estimates job growth for the calendar year and is calculated as the 12-month change in payroll employment from December to December. The forecast is an average based on four models that incorporate U.S. GDP, U.S. Leading Index, Texas Leading Index, WTI oil prices, COVID-19 fixed effects and COVID-19 hospitalizations.
Updates to the Texas Employment Forecast follow the Texas Workforce Commission’s Labor Market Information release schedule.
Next update: August 21
Note: Due to a delay in the Texas Workforce Commission publishing its 2026 data release schedule, dates for future Texas Employment Forecast releases are undetermined. --
2026
2025
2024
2023
2026
Jan. 30*
Feb. 6
April 3
April 17
May 1
May 22
June 22
July 17
*The Jan. 30 report is an update only. The 2026 Texas employment forecast was released on Feb. 6, 2026, in conjunction with the Texas Economic Outlook 2026 event.
2025
January 24*
February 7
March 17
March 28
April 18
May 16
June 20
July 18
August 15
September 19
December 11
January 9, 2026
October 17
November 21
December 19
January 23, 2026--
*The Jan. 24 report is an update only. The 2025 Texas Employment Forecast was released on Feb. 7 in conjunction with the Texas Economic Outlook 2025 event.
2024
January 19*
February 9
March 8
March 22
April 19
May 17
June 21
July 22
August 16
September 20
October 18
November 15
December 20
*The Jan. 19 report is an update only. The 2024 Texas Employment Forecast was released on Feb. 9, 2024, in conjunction with the Texas Economic Outlook 2024 event.
2023
February 3
March 10
March 24
April 21
May 19
June 16
July 21
August 18
September 15
October 20
November 17
December 22
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Contact Information
For more information about the Texas Employment Forecast, contact Jesus Cañas at jesus.canas@dal.frb.org.--
For more information about the Texas Employment Forecast, contact Luis Torres.
Texas Employment Forecast
Forecast archive
Forecast Methodology --
Related Resources
Texas Economic Indicators
Seasonally Adjusted & Benchmarked Texas Employment Data – Total
Seasonally Adjusted Metro Unemployment Rates
Texas Employment Data – All Series
Texas Leading Index
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