subscribeMacroblog https://www.atlantafed.org en-us https://www.atlantafed.org Firms' Views on the Current Oil Price Shock: Stable for Now, Risky for Tomorrow https://www.atlantafed.org/research-and-data/publications/policy-hub-macroblog/2026/06/02/firms-views-on-current-oil-price-shock-stable-for-now-risky-for-tomorrow Tue, 02 Jun 2026 10:00:00 EST Examining recent research and survey data from firms, a post looks at the latest oil shock’s potential economic effects. How Much Are Firms Spending on AI (and What Will Happen to Headcounts)? https://www.atlantafed.org/research-and-data/publications/policy-hub-macroblog/2026/05/06/how-much-firms-spending-on-ai-and-what-will-happen-to-headcounts Wed, 06 May 2026 10:00:00 EST A post determines where the impact of AI is most likely to be felt in the macroeconomy. Can Export Promotion Help Close the Trade Gap? https://www.atlantafed.org/research-and-data/publications/policy-hub-macroblog/2026/04/15/can-export-promotion-help-close-trade-gap Wed, 15 Apr 2026 10:00:00 EST A post looks at the role of the Export-Import Bank, which in years past has played an effective role in US trade policy. Did the OBBB Affect Firms' Plans for 2026? https://www.atlantafed.org/research-and-data/publications/policy-hub-macroblog/2026/04/13/did-obbb-affect-firms-plans-for-2026 Mon, 13 Apr 2026 10:00:00 EST A post looks at recent survey data to assess the One Big Beautiful Bill's influence on firms' decision making. More than Missing Data: Survey Response Rates Following the 2025 Government Shutdown https://www.atlantafed.org/research-and-data/publications/policy-hub-macroblog/2026/04/09/more-than-missing-data-survey-response-rates-following-2025-government-shutdown Thu, 09 Apr 2026 10:00:00 EST A post looks at one of the effects of last year's government shutdown: the quality of survey data used in assessing the health of the labor market. How Might AI Change the Workplace? Evidence from Corporate Executives https://www.atlantafed.org/research-and-data/publications/policy-hub-macroblog/2026/03/25/how-might-ai-change-the-workplace-evidence-from-corporate-executives Wed, 25 Mar 2026 10:00:00 EST Artificial intelligence, or AI, has dominated the headlines. But what impact will it have on businesses? A post looks at recent survey data in an attempt to assess its potential effects on employment and productivity. How Immigration Rules Shape Firm Dynamics in the US Technology Sector https://www.atlantafed.org/research-and-data/publications/policy-hub-macroblog/2025/11/25/how-immigration-rules-shape-firm-dynamics-in-us-technology-sector Tue, 25 Nov 2025 10:00:00 EST As visas for skilled workers become scarcer, the potential impact on the US technology sector is coming into focus. A post shows that even without expanding the total number of visas, reallocating them toward younger firms or lowering administrative costs could bolster start-up formation and productivity growth. The Aftermath of the Pandemic Retirement Boom https://www.atlantafed.org/research-and-data/publications/policy-hub-macroblog/2025/11/20/aftermath-of-pandemic-retirement-boom Thu, 20 Nov 2025 10:00:00 EST As the labor force shifts toward older and more educated workers, what are the effects on the unemployment rate over time? A post examines evolving workforce demographics and their impact on the unemployment rate. Demographic Changes and the Unemployment Rate https://www.atlantafed.org/research-and-data/publications/policy-hub-macroblog/2025/11/13/demographic-changes-and-the-unemployment-rate Thu, 13 Nov 2025 10:00:00 EST As the labor force shifts toward older and more educated workers, what are the effects on the unemployment rate over time? A post examines evolving workforce demographics and their impact on the unemployment rate. Rounding Rules and Cash Inflation When We No Longer Make Cents https://www.atlantafed.org/research-and-data/publications/policy-hub-macroblog/2025/11/03/rounding-rules-and-cash-inflation-when-we-no-longer-make-cents Mon, 03 Nov 2025 10:00:00 EST They say the only constant is change, but even our pocket change is not constant. This post looks at the economic effects of the elimination of the penny from our daily transactions and considers other potential changes to come. Winter Is Coming? Firms' Cost and Price Expectations in the Wake of Tariff Hikes https://www.atlantafed.org/research-and-data/publications/policy-hub-macroblog/2025/10/10/winter-is-coming-firms-cost-and-price-expectations-in-wake-of-tariff-hikes Fri, 10 Oct 2025 10:00:00 EST The US labor force participation rate has been declining. What factors play a role in the decline? A post looks at recent data and trends to explain the phenomenon. Digging Deeper Into Declining Labor Force Participation https://www.atlantafed.org/research-and-data/publications/policy-hub-macroblog/2025/10/01/digging-deeper-into-declining-labor-force-participation Wed, 01 Oct 2025 10:00:00 EST The US labor force participation rate has been declining. What factors play a role in the decline? A post looks at recent data and trends to explain the phenomenon. Are US Importers Ready for the New Tariff Landscape? https://www.atlantafed.org/research-and-data/publications/policy-hub-macroblog/2025/08/26/are-us-importers-ready-for-new-tariff-landscape Tue, 26 Aug 2025 10:30:00 EST As US importers begin to adjust to higher tariffs, a post considers why small firms could be the hardest hit given their less diversified supply chains, exposure to tariffed countries, and limited access to credit. How Long Will Tariff-Related Uncertainty Last? Business Execs Are Split. https://www.atlantafed.org/research-and-data/publications/policy-hub-macroblog/2025/07/17/how-long-will-tariff-related-uncertainty-last-business-execs-split Thu, 17 Jul 2025 11:00:00 EST How long might tariff-related uncertainty persist, and what types of firms are experiencing greater uncertainty? A post looks at recent data from the Survey of Business Uncertainty to find out. The Evolving Impact of Tariffs on CFOs' Outlooks https://www.atlantafed.org/research-and-data/publications/policy-hub-macroblog/2025/07/02/evolving-impact-of-tariffs-on-cfos-outlooks Wed, 02 Jul 2025 11:00:00 EST Although trade policy remains in flux, it is having a measurable impact on some firms' outlook. A post scrutinizes recent survey data to understand how tariffs are affecting firm expectations.